Oregon vs California 11/13/2010

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Oregon is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over California. Darron Thomas is averaging 215 passing yards and 1.85 TDs per simulation and LaMichael James is projected for 167 rushing yards and a 87% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where California wins, Brock Mansion averages 1.51 TD passes vs 1 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.74 TDs to 1.41 interceptions. Shane Vereen averages 157 rushing yards and 1.54 rushing TDs when California wins and 129 yards and 0.73 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CAL +20 --- Over/Under line is 74

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